Well said. The only thing on your list that I am not particularly worried about is a violent uprising on the left if Trump wins Not that antifa and the like won't be violent - they will. I just don't think they will be joined or tolerated as they were in some areas post George Floyd. My read is people in blue areas/cities - including good liberals - are sick to death of criminality of all kinds. There are two things happening in CA that could be telling. One is the DA race between uber-liberal Gascón and the normal conservative (not Maga-like) Hochman. I think Hochman will win easily. Plus, Prop 36 - rolling back a liberal-on-crime proposition - will also easily win. While the things - reacting to a Trump win and reacting to crimes - are different, I think that people have no interest in or stomach for civil war and any violent uprisings will be policed effectively in those cities. Now, come inauguration, that sets up a potential blood-bath IF there is something like the very peaceful Women's March met with violent National Guards. That would be a very bad call by Trump if that was to happen. I don't think it will.
I'm more apprehensive as I live in Chicago, and don't belive that "any violent uprisings will be policed effectively" there. The police department is very understaffed, new recruits are quitting, and our uber-woke Mayor is a diasater. We've never come close to getting back to pre-2020 levels of everyday street-level public safety in my opinion.
While I'm not at all worried about normie Dems taking part in any problematic street action, I would expect that a fringe left eruption of violence and disorder would be predictably taken advantage of by criminals, what we used to call "at risk" youth, and random opportunists who will jump in to loot a store if they think they can easily get away with it.
So I guess the question is how many areas of the country are more like that and how many are more orderly, and how Trump might respond to the former. Even if he's smart and just leaves such places to their own unhappy fate, it's still worrisome. But if I lived far away from such a place, it would be a different matter.
Well said. The only thing on your list that I am not particularly worried about is a violent uprising on the left if Trump wins Not that antifa and the like won't be violent - they will. I just don't think they will be joined or tolerated as they were in some areas post George Floyd. My read is people in blue areas/cities - including good liberals - are sick to death of criminality of all kinds. There are two things happening in CA that could be telling. One is the DA race between uber-liberal Gascón and the normal conservative (not Maga-like) Hochman. I think Hochman will win easily. Plus, Prop 36 - rolling back a liberal-on-crime proposition - will also easily win. While the things - reacting to a Trump win and reacting to crimes - are different, I think that people have no interest in or stomach for civil war and any violent uprisings will be policed effectively in those cities. Now, come inauguration, that sets up a potential blood-bath IF there is something like the very peaceful Women's March met with violent National Guards. That would be a very bad call by Trump if that was to happen. I don't think it will.
I like that positivity! And hope you are right.
I'm more apprehensive as I live in Chicago, and don't belive that "any violent uprisings will be policed effectively" there. The police department is very understaffed, new recruits are quitting, and our uber-woke Mayor is a diasater. We've never come close to getting back to pre-2020 levels of everyday street-level public safety in my opinion.
While I'm not at all worried about normie Dems taking part in any problematic street action, I would expect that a fringe left eruption of violence and disorder would be predictably taken advantage of by criminals, what we used to call "at risk" youth, and random opportunists who will jump in to loot a store if they think they can easily get away with it.
So I guess the question is how many areas of the country are more like that and how many are more orderly, and how Trump might respond to the former. Even if he's smart and just leaves such places to their own unhappy fate, it's still worrisome. But if I lived far away from such a place, it would be a different matter.